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is in the biggest of them all. the sunshine state starting early voting today. >> and president obama is also out in force in new hampshire. a state dear to the heart of mitt romney. we will get a live report there. >> and a brand-new al-qaeda attack designed to murder more american embassy workers and private citizens stopped in its tracks. we have the details on this breaking news story. >>> first we begin with hour with a fox extreme weather alert. dire warnings of what could be the worst storm we have seen in decades. forecasters are saying hurricane sandy could come ashore near delaware early tuesday before colliding with two other weather systems as it moves inland. that combination, you can only imagine unleashing torrential rain and high winds, and they are even making predictions of snow. some meteorologists are warning the set up could be the perfect storm posing a risk to millions of us. maria is live in the fox weather center. she is working it to make sure as many of us as can stay safe. >> we want to hope for the best, but prepare for the worst anywhere along the coast. so the north
,000 vote flip which is the margin by which obama won ohio in 2008. secondly, ohio is a republican state. 20 of the last 24 years we had republican governors. the legislature is overwhelmingly republican. every elected member of the supreme court of ohio is republican. 75% of elected officials in 88 counties are republicans. and thirdly, by independent voting measures, 10% to 15% of independent voters in ohio are going to vote for mitt romney. and also the catholic church when i go to saint sin vent in kenwood in since is national the minister is telling us vote for religious freedom. vote for the biblical definition of marriage. vote for life. there is half a million catholics energized in south, ohio, to pull the lever for mitt romney. mitt romney will win, ohio, and is going to win ohio easily. >> sean: wisconsin? >> wisconsin will go for romney because what walker did and what ryan did made it possible for mitt romney to win wisconsin. let's face it, tonight in westchester, 30,000 people came to butler county, ohio, the most important county and the most important state in the the union
. mr. obama cast his own early vote in illinois earlier this week. it is all a sign of trying to get their ground game established in the final week and a half. it is generally viewed that mr. obama has early voting. by some estimates the margin across the country when the popular vote is tallied could be less than eight million votes. when you divide that up across the country and focus on the battleground states, it could be an awful lot less. everything counts in getting out the vote. if you live in a battleground state you know your tv is flooded with advertisement. if are you in a battleground state your phone has messages on the answering machine. there will be mortal law mark ceght calls to get you to the polls. and then there is your e-mail box and your snail mailbox that will be jammed with direct mail over the next nine days to get people to the polls. >> and as millions lose power for a week or 10 days they are not getting anything. >> that could be profound for the campaign. the prospect of losing three or four days when there is a week and a half left is a major recalcul
." president obama voted early. do you think that's going to play a role? >> early voting obviously very important. we were talking about this earlier. the polls break a big way in early voting for the president. >> the engagement there so far appears to be for the president. there are other polls that you look at in terms of the direction of the economy, that you see mitt romney closing in. you see this thing heating up, and you get to a point where i'm not sure there's anyone who actually really knows, has a gut, has an absolute instinct as to what's going to happen. >> if you know what's going on right now, read dickens. it was the best of times, it was the worst of times. i can show you ten polls and you'll say there is no way barack obama is going to win. and ten other polls would say mitt romney is sunk. >> an associated press poll has him up 49 to 45 with women. do you think that maybe stemmed from the debate? he was a little more moderate in the debate? how is he picking up these female voters right now? >> i have no idea. >> you're asking the wrong person. >> i have no idea. and
strength. as a matter of fact, in 2008, the obama team had a 10% advantage on early vote nationwide. what we are seeing in these battleground states and across the country in this cycle is that that advantage is still there but much smaller, less than 4% advantage to the democrats so far in early voting. what the republicans are trying to do in key states like florida, especially ohio, is just do everything they can to improve upon their performance four years ago and mccain's performance four years ago. to have a really vigorous get out the vote effort on election day. >> i want to continue this conversation about early voting. let's move to ohio now. "time" magazine found this week that among voters in ohio who have not yet cast ballots, the race is tied 45%-45%. among those who already voted, the president has a 30-point edge. in 2008 about 1/3 of ohio voters cast their ballots early. how worrisome is that to the romney team? >> if those numbers were accurate, that is a very strong for the obama team. he had a 20% advantage in ohio in early vote in 2008. so far, the numbers that the re
and really want to get out there and vote and there is not the same intensity on the obama side. i don't know how that translates to the actual poll next tuesday, but something i don't think that the pollsters are measuring now. >> it's interesting, because the pollsters don't want to tell you exactly how they are he' measuring it, how they decide who the likely voter as opposed to the registered voters, they ask did you vote last time and-- >> they have ways to figure out how likely the person is to vote. that's the thing, you can't measure human nature and somebody might say, hey, i'm he really excited about romney and going to get out there and tuesday comes, you don't know. but this iere's no question, th obama excitement is nowhere near 2008 and any poll that claims that democratic excitement is the same as four years ago it is, you can't take it seriously. >> last one, have you seen any impact from the libya situation and the president's refusal to take direct questioning on the libyan situation. has it had any impact on the voters at all. >> i wish more were covering it, fox and fox bu
'm asking for your vote... so together, we can keep moving america forward. i'm barack obama and i approve this message. >>> okay, you've got your candy, you've got your haunted houses. but halloween is all about creative costumes, isn't it? here are a few of the pictures that have come into us. you've got super mario there from mario brothers. some of the employees there. there's a young fan with robert griffin, iii. grif[ minto ] you know, those ads saying mitt romney would ban all abortions and contraception seemed a bit extreme. so i looked into it. turns out, romney doesn't oppose contraception at all. in fact, he thinks abortion should be an option in cases of rape, incest, or to save a mother's life. this issue's important to me, but i'm more concerned about the debt our children will be left with. i voted for president obama last time, but we just can't afford four more years. [ romney ] i'm mitt romney and i approve this message. >> jay: hey, rickey, that's a a great skeleton. oh, i love that. dorian, hey! great zombie costume. you look terrific! cool, cool. -- [ cheers and applau
by three. the governor with 50% of the vote and president obama with 47%. dick morris joins us. good evening, dick. >> good. i heard a great joke yesterday. if obama is reelected imagine the mess he will inherit. >> okay. i'm sure that the obama campaign will like that but the romney cam -- won't like that but the romney camp will enjoy that a bit. looking at the polls tonight, wisconsin in four years ago, president obama stormed the state by 14 points. this does seem to be a seismic shift in the state. >> there is. wisconsin has become a republican state by virtue of the incredibly intense organizational efforts there of governor scott walker's people, americans for prosperity and various other political groups that have really mobilized the free market forces in the state. they have been through a recall election. a senate recall. a judicial election. and, of course, the original election in 2010 and they won them all and i think wisconsin is going to go for romney. let me put this in a context, greta. i don't think any one has the overview. 179 lectorral votes and states john mcca
said it happened to her. her name is joan stevens and she said he is voted for romney, up popped obama's name. did it again. three times she said until she was able to cast a correct ballot. >> i did know if it happened to anybody else or not but this is the first time in all the years we voted this has ever happened to me. >> election officials there say there is no problem. they blame human error that people bang the machine. secretary of state ofness ross miller tells us it's nearly technically impossible to preprogram the machines that similar allegations have been without merit. joan says check your vote. >> bret: keep pressing or let somebody know. >> exactly. paper trail, too, so check that also. >> okay. >> bret: thank you. a lot of things that were turned off and shut down because of hurricane sandy are back on tonight. we have two reports beginning with correspondent david lee milner manhattan tonight. good evening, david. >> good evening, bret. as if it's slow motion, the city is gradually returning to normal. the water level behind me at the underpass is dropping, thanks to
will win those four. we're really down to the last seven states and their 94 electoral votes and obama needs 17 out of 94 and romney needs 79 out of 94. when one candidate only needs 18% of the electoral votes in the toss up states and the other 84%, the odds are a lot better for the candidate that needs the 18% and that's president obama. so, i think the popular vote -- i think it's tied. i think we could easily see romney win the popular vote, but the electoral college i still think -- i would put a finger on the scale towards president obama. >> chris cizilla, if president obama wins, how much of an impact do you think that the hurricane and his leadership role, being seen with chris christie, you know, showing up with fema, how much do you think that may have had an impact, because it stopped whatever momentum mitt romney may have been enjoying. >> i would say i think the race is kind of upset. mitt romney got a bump off the first debate. by october 15th, the race had settled to where it was up until hurricane sandy. i point to the "washington post"/abc news, doing tracking polls e
? [ cheers and applause ] >> greta: we don't know if if it will generate votes but tonight a new obama campaign ad is generating lots of reaction. we showed you the ad with hbo's lena dunham. >> it was a sideline in the sand. before i was a girl and now i was a woman. i went to the polling station and pulled back the curtain and i voted for barack obama. >> greta: and now firey reaction. some good. some bad. >> that ad losing it shows everybody obama is losing it. >> who approved this message? valerie jarrett, anita dunn? stephanie cutter? like who thought this was a great idea. >> i think it crosses the line. >> i think it is genius. >> why? >> i think this is the smartest think has done. we have been talking about benghazi. this takes the debate off of benghazi and puts it back on birth control. >> greta: what do you think of the ad? the ad? if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like investing in advanced teacher education. let's b
the vote looks like a tossup. the latest pew research study says across the country obama campaign reached 11% of likely voters. only 10% for the romney campaign. look at the swing state. the romney campaign has an edge to reach 14% of likely voters, only 13 from the obama camp. >> bret: carl, thank you. president obama switching things up a bit. for the final push. chief white house correspondent ed henry is with the president in las vegas. >> wardrobe change for president obama. flashing a bomber jacket from air force one to remind even he is still commander-in-chief for now. and while aides are also promising a change in message, with a new more positive tone in his final case -- >> our fight goes on because we know this nation cannot succeed. without a growing, thying middle class. >> he is still going negative on romney with the campaign today charging the republican would be rubber stamp for the right wing. >> he is saying he is the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. governor is all for ensuring change. giving more power back to the
don't think it is going be a factor in president obama's reelection. i think getting the black vote out and getting enough numbers from african american voters is going to be a factor are in the election but not because he himself is black. >> geraldo: it has been a campaign where you can go, kristine, to the polling place and if you see a white person the odds are they are voting for mitt romney and if you see a black or brown person the odds are they are voting for barack obama. i think that is kind of melancholy. >> i agree with you, geraldo. i also think that what president obama and the democrats are saying is we need to move forward as a country bringing everything together. we need to have is jobs for everybody. we need to have the fair pay act to that women are paid the same as men. protect medicare for everybody. the more uniting the president can do in the closing days the better he is going to do on election day. >> geraldo: talk about -- you talk about -- >> i think it is unfortunate and sad that trump is doing that. >> geraldo: well, trump is trump. what about the -- >>
. >> i am an obama supporter. i voted for him in 2008, and the republicans gave him a mountain of debt when he went in and gave him a little shovel to clean it up with, and he has not done it the way they thought he should have done it and could not have done it in four years, and i every with bill clinton. nobody could have clean this mess up after what they left, but this man stands for what he says, and romney does not know what he stands for. one day he is for something, and the next day he is for something different. he will tell us his plan after he gets in office. >> we have a caller from the nation's capital of washington, d.c. you are supporting mitt romney. why is that? >> i am a democrat, but i have been disappointed. i think romney has a global economic perspective that will be good for the united states. i think he has demanded respect. i say he is incredibly successful, and i do not think he has gotten the respect he deserves, and i think what the president tried to do has not worked. >> up next, macon, ga., a romney supporter. what you have to say? >> i believe president
before america votes. tonight on "special report," president obama says the addition of 171,000 jobs in october shows real progress. the president did not mention the jobless rate went up tenth of a point to 7.9%. mitt romney made sure his audience heard that statistic and pointed out the unemployment rate is higher than when the president took office. plus a look at what the rate would be with the same workforce in place. it appears f.b.i. agents will get access to suspect in libya terror attack held in tunisia. also today, the c.i.a. is giving a timeline of its response to the assault. we'll have that. mayor michael bloomberg has announced, just announced the new york city marathon is canceled in the wake of hurricane sandy. we're live. plus, the politicians of coal. "special report" from washington starts at 6:00 eastern. now back to new york mind colleagues with "the five." ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >> greg: i can't believe bloomberg banned marathon bars michigan favorite chocolate. atlantic, the magazine, not the ocean, noticed romney skipping campaign stops with "us weekly." he ran a sto
for mitt romney and if you see a black or brown person the odds are they are voting for barack obama. i think that is kind of melancholy. >> i agree with you, geraldo. i also think that what president obama and the democrats are saying is we need to move forward as a country bringing everything together. we need to have is jobs for everybody. we need to have the fair pay act to that women are paid the same as men. protect medicare for everybody. the more uniting the president can do in the closing days the better he is going to do on election day. >> geraldo: talk about -- you talk about -- >> i think it is unfortunate and sad that trump is doing that. >> geraldo: well, trump is trump. what about the -- >> true, but people are paying attention to him. >> geraldo: people that do, if they are going to vote based on donald trump's $5 million bounty i think they probably had their minds made up previously. >> true that. >> geraldo: let's get to benghazi-gate. i want to concentrate on most of that for the show tonight. do you think the president should have been more forthcoming. do you thin
. don't give me that. early voting was so prominent for president obama. and liberals took the network touting it in 2008. >> bob: we'll talk about this after tuesday. >> eric: one more number came out today, unemployment, disturbing. among blacks 14.3%. jumped again. >> dana: the closing argument -- >> eric: very funny. >> dana: sorry. hel >> eric: they are telling us that cbs is announcing that the new york city marathon is officially -- >> dana: i was just going to say that. we're done. several developments on the libya terror attack. don't forget our special show on sunday. campaign race toward finish line. we'll be here. all five of us. hope you will be, too. bye. ♪ ♪ ♪ chances are, you're not made of money, so don't overpay for motorcycle insurance. geico, see how much you could save. one is for a clean, wedomestic energy future that puts us in control. our abundant natural gas is already saving us money, producing cleaner electricity, putting us to work here in america and supporting wind and solar. though all energy development comes with some risk, we're committed to saf
. >> i prefer to vote for president obama to be reelected. because we know that we have a good future. and he's sincere with us. and i trusted everything that he said. >> reporter: while each was certain about their choice, most voters were cautious in their prediction of who will win virginia. listen to this romney supporter. >> six months ago i would have told you obama was going to win. but i think it's going to be very close. and i'm hopeful romney will pull it out. >> reporter: no polls are released yet with the impact of sandy on voters' minds. this obama supporter thinks the president could get a slight boost. >> in terms of who will get a bump because of this storm? if i had to say somebody would get a bump, i would say president obama, because he's paying attention to the needs of the people. >> reporter: romney supporter watched her candidate gaining in the polls, where his momentum could suffer. >> it hasn't come back to where it was before. whether that's going to have an effect, i hope not. because we need everybody to go out. >> reporter: romney supporters in roanoke, ri
, they said my parents and grandparents were not going to vote for barack obama but when i talked to them about what this election meant for my future, i convinced them to vote for the president. so that as the power of what you can do. [applause] you often tell people that they do not have to wait until november 6 to cast their ballots. last week, i voted early by mail. and, yes, i voted for barack obama. [applause] want the record to show. i want to spend election day helping to get the vote out. i hope that some many of you went to the same. here in nevada, boating has already begun. right after this event, we have a big group double walk over to boulevard mall to cast their vote. we want you to go. after i'm done, do not leave yet. i want to get back to malia and sasha tonight. so i'm not gonna go vote but i need you all to vote. meet at the flag pole and follow our school performers. they're ready. you're gonna have a little music. so follow the band and make sure your voices are heard. from now until november 2, people can vote early in person and right in their neighborhood. make s
mind around that. >> i'm an independent but i'm going to vote for obama. >> are you leaning in one direction? >> not really. >> no? >> got to pick the less of the two evils. do you everybody watch bill o'reilly. >> sure. >> factor fan. >> i think is he a positive force. >> i do just so i can know what the other side is saying. >> the other side. what do you like about bill in the show. >> i like how he tries to keep everything real. >> keep it real, homeys. >> what's your favorite part of the show. >> i don't want to say anything. >> you don't want to say anything. >> do i have to. >> yes, you have. >> say it, say it. >> is there anything you want to tell bill o'reilly right now what would it be. >> keep going, get better. >> oh my goodness. where was most of those interviews? where do you them. >> it was connecticut, new jersey and new york. >> okay. because there is a big difference. new york i think highest gas taxes. >> 69 cents a gallon and around 65 in connecticut. 69 cents that the state and feed a on here in new york. >> exactly. >> 65 in connecticut. >> jerusalem is about
electoral college votes and mitt romney will win 238 and president obama's chance of re-election ticked up tonight in nate silver's calculations to 78.4%. and finally, george w. bush has entered the presidential campaign. he did that today when he was dragged into it by his little brother in florida. >> do you honestly think that this president is capable of bringing people together? his entire strategy is to blame others. starting with my brother, of course. basically, he blames every possible thing, rather than having the humility to be able to reach out and define common ground. >> and the fight over who is the real friend of the auto industry continued today. >> the facts, they speak for themselves. president obama took gm and chrysler into bankruptcy. taxpayers still stand to lose $25 billion from the president's politically managed bankruptcy. these companies, chrysler in particular, we know their story, are now choosing to expand manufacturing overseas. these are the facts. >> remember the president talked about romnesia? well, it's contagious. congressman ryan. congressman ryan's c
's move over to ohio. this is a place where the obama campaign worked very hard on early voting in the african-american communities, especially in the cleveland area. you see cleveland, the cleveland suburbs, and to a lesser degree down here to the south in the akron area, people without power. how did they vote in 2008 and how do they tend to vote in presidential policies? across the top of the state, heavy democratic areas. our producer called out to cuyahoga today. early voting down today than it was four years ago. so you see some obvious immediate impacts. the question is, again, with a few more days to go, five more d days, can they get this fixed come election day? in the northern virginia suburbs, it tells the story. a lot of people out in the northern washington, d.c. area, fairfax county, arlington. you go back four years, you see all that blue. this is the area most critical to president obama. he has to win the state of virginia. again, when you call to these communities, they think they'll get it fixed in time for tuesday. >> john, when you talked to the two campaig
about even and even if obama has a lead of one or two i suspect the undecided votes are going to go to mitt romney. i have a pretty good feeling about ohio. and if he wins ohio, i think he wins and maybe president obama could feel the same way about it. this is probably the key state. >> greta: why do you all leave, ohio, and spread out across the country? why don't you all just stay in ohio if that is so important, got to get every vote there. >> because you got to make sure you win the others too. you have to make sure you win, virginia, and win colorado and win wisconsin and you win florida. florida you can't take for granted. florida is just as critical. maybe more in ohio. we all feel i think. >> greta: it looks like we have some satellite trouble. we have lost the mayor. we -- the governor, of course, you see on the screen here. just to give you sort of a heads up what has been going on in ohio today. westchester, ohio and this is supposedly one of the biggest rallies that governor romney has had as they sort of move into the closing part of this campaign. at the campaign toda
. they voted for obama in 2008. >> but 2012 is a different story. just a month ago, president obama led governor romney by double dijts. today, that margin is razor thin. >> it is really still right down the lines of is the economy the important tipping point for you one way or the other, or is it the social issues that are the tipping point one way or the other. >> reporter: for you? >> for me, it was a little bit of both. >> reporter: registered independent is running for obama. >> reporter: how did you vote since you voted already? >> i voted for romney. i feel like there's a lot of things in our economy that need to be worked on. and i feel like obama has a lot of great tuck but not as much that has been done. >> with just days left, there are fewer and fewer tina susacs. >> reporter: do you feel like they're fighting over you? >> yeah, doi. >> reporter: the state's nonelectoral votes could hang in the balance and so could the election. >>> now, governor romney is expected to arrive here at this amphitheater right behind me in just about 90 minutes. this is his final stop through th
votes and as of now it seems to be anybody's race. the new "washington post" poll shows president obama in the lead by four points but a fox news poll conducted last week has mitt romney ahead by two. keep in mind both leads are within the margins of error. in the past three elections voters here in virginia have picked the winning candidate so it's clear the road to 1600 pennsylvania avenue may run straight through the state of virginia. it wasn't all that long ago that virginia was better known for its civil war battlegrounds than its political ones. for ten straight presidential elections the republican candidate came out on top, but then in 2008, virginia voters went for barack obama. >> virginia! >>t was interesting because he kind of road tde the wave and h swayed a lot of districts that had been traditionally republican. >> while the 2008 vote here closely mirrored the rest of the country, virginia has actually fared better economically. its unemployment rate is below the national average from its fast growing washington, d.c., suburbs to the huge military presence around norfolk
of the storm will have passed enough for people not to be impeded in terms of their ability to vote. i hope that's the case in other parts of the country. we hope this won't impede people to go out and vote. >> thank you very much. both mitt romney and barack obama have suspended their schedules just days before the voters make their choice. for more on the storm's impact on this race, i'm joined by the bbc north america editor in florida where president obama was supposed to be campaigning today and bridgette in cleveland, ohio, the state where governor romney was supposed to be stomping today. let's start with you in florida. i'm incredibly jealous. pouring with rain here in washington, d.c. it must feel a world away, both weather-wise and politically. >> yes, it does. we woke up here this morning thinking the president wag going to launch his campaign. we knew this was going to be a big moment with bill clinton rolling out the big guns, if you like, and that was all canceled rather suddenly just as we woke up. so it was really strange knowing he was flying back to cope with a crisis whil
. >> mitt romney and barack obama yearn for their vote, the elusive mysterious undecided voter. (laughter) >> stephen: yes, they yearn. (cheers and applause) yes. elusive, mysterious undecided voters. i wonder what he's thinking. (laughter) or if. (laughter) folks, folks, here's how it stands. the electoral kitchen is closing in two weeks and they still can't decide if they want the black-and-white cookie or the decaf wheat thin. (laughter) they're elusive! but we know that they're out there! these campaigns have spent billions of dollars trying to capture them with lawn signs, t.v. ads, radio spots, internet banners, robocalls and, for some lucky ohio voters, an amorous david axelrod with a rose in his teeth. (laughter) but a few and the liesing facts about these mysterious creatures have emerged. >> undecided voter they say typically a single white female between 18 and 29 years old, she has a job with a low income, she did not graduate from college. according to this poll she skipped watching the debate. >> stephen: fascinating. the person who will decide this race is a likely voter wh
voting today. president obama was in another swing state, new hampshire. >> reporter: mitt romney traveled to florida, the biggest battlegrounds state to lock down its 29 electoral votes. >> i need your help, we need to win this. we're taking back america. >> reporter: early voting started in the state saturday. and the romney campaign is pushing supporters to cast their ballots now. with polls showing a tight race, romney hopes to keep his momentum going to election day. >> the supporters of the president have this chance, they do four more years, i like ten more days a lot better you know what? [ laughter ] >> reporter: in new hampshire, president barack obama once again heard the four more years. [ people chanting ] and he too talked about ten more days. >> ten days and you'll be stepping into a voting booth, and making is defining choice about the future of our country. >> reporter: new hampshire is the smallest battleground state with just four electoral votes with the way the race is shaping up, those votes could make a difference. >> new hampshire, i still believe in you. i
, but i'm more concerned about the debt our children will be left with. i voted for president obama last time, but we just can't afford four more years. [ romney ] i'm mitt romney and i approve this message. what mitt romney's tv ads say about women? [ romney ] i'm mitt romney or what mitt romney himself says? mitt romney: do i believe the supreme court... should overturn roe v. wade? yes. and it would be my preference that they, that they... reverse roe v. wade. hopefully reverse v roe v. wad. overturn roe v. wade. planned parenthood, we're going to get rid of that. i'll cut off funding to planned parenthood. anncr: no matter what mitt romney's ads say. we know what he'll do. president obama: i'm barack obama and... i approve this message. take a look at what is happening in virginia beach. is getting battered by that serve. the waves are coming into the to 20 feetre close are higher than that. we wanted to show you some of the video that has just come in. >> we have been seeing amazing from across the east coast. we're just getting word that the romney-ryan campaign has their schedule
necessary, and that's why i will be voting for barack obama this tuesday, november 6th. i'm krystal ball, and i approve this message. all right. that does it for us at the cycle. >> krystal ball says an act of god breaks the demonization of this president. thank you and good afternoon it's thursday, november 1st, and where did that mice old mitt romney go? mean old mitt is back on the trail. >>> five days to go and the pace is fast and furious. >> i was a leader in the boy scouts of america some years ago. >> no! faster than that. >> you know i'll fight for you and your families every single day as hard as i know how. you know that. >> if i'm re-elected -- excuse me, if i'm elected. >> we've gone too far to turn back now. >> we need you, virginia. we've got to take become america. >> together we'll renew those bonds and reaffirm that spirit that makes the united states of america the greatest nation on earth. thank you, wisconsin. >> while full fury abounds about two politicians helping millions. >> is it possible obama called christie and said you want some money? you better let me
voted for president obama last time but we just can't afford four more yes. [ romney ] i'm mitt romney and i approve this message. >> virginia is made up of people with many points of view. you may get a different field for this election. >> who better than gordon peterson to set out on the road to get a feel for which way the state might go. what did you learn? >> i do not have a clue which we will go. it is that tight. this time reaction is in -- the action is in northern virginia. you do get a sense of how divided the state is. in 2008, the counties went for obama. the west went for mccain. >> president obama is going to win. >> to close to call. >> this is not your grandfather 's virginia. especially northern virginia where ruling hills and fields have given way to suburban sprawl. in prince william county, michael is trying to hold on to the family farm. how much longer can you hold out? >> i have no idea. i have to make this form stay and work and it does not work right have to go west. >> prince william county went for obama four years ago and the county has picked a wi
of the candidates has made real headway into the independent vote? >> if there is one component, yesterday, i said that mayor bloomberg had endorsed president obama four years ago. that is a mistake. even political analysts make mistakes occasionally. he did endorse him and said because of the president's views on the climate change, he is the prominent, the most prominent independent probably in the country and the richest in the country. there was one component that bothers the obama campaign in the most dire state when the president was leading by so many points. independence is trending toward romney, and that is why he's going to pennsylvania to try to get independent votes even though pennsylvania democrats outnumber republicans registered voters by over a million people. he feels the election should be, can be won with independence, and that component is going to romney. >> mark, if we drew lines on that today on the trail map, you would actually see barack obama and mitt romney crisscrossing each other throughout the midwest today. you tend to think it that where they go is where their att
more voting in precincts that went for obama than those who went for mccain. we are seeing people aren inning gauged and showing up to vote. >> if democrats are trailing in party id and if republicans come out big and have a huge turnout, what will that mean for the president and his chances of winning a second term? >> i will say two things on that. going back to the point i made earlier, people are turning out early to vote. look at the battle ground states 1k3* almost always have early voting states. colorado, iowa, florida. the numbers of people are casting votes and they don't match the numbers that we have seen. and more importantly, look, it is a trick that this comes down to a set of states and we talk about how we will win the presidency. if you look across the board we have seen strong democratic registration numbers. in north carolina we added 250,000 new reg straints to the -- reg straints to the polls. the majority of whom live in democratic precincts and come from democratic backgrounds. so the polls are going to say what they will say. if you look at what is happening w
of president obama, it's going to be all about the early voting. >> and keith, you know, people are talking a lot about whether or not perceptions of the president, certainly after sandy, seeing him walk around and comfort people helps at all. but when you look at early voting, obviously that was in place before sandy. the president talking today with his new modified stump speech really detailing the folks he's fighting for. he says whether they're in urban area or a rural area, this is what i am fighting for, this very passionate speech as part of his closing argument. >> yeah, i think you're right, tamron. what president obama has done in the past week with sandy can only help him. you have 78% of the american public thinks he's done a good job. that's republicans and democrats. think he's done a good job in handling the sandy situation. and the hurricane relief efforts. and then you look at the early voting, as was just mentioned a moment ago, the president has a 35-point advantage in early voting in iowa. a 30-point advantage in ohio. i'm down in florida right now in tampa. he has an e
% of the votes to obama. they're both campaigning in northern virginia. it is the linchpin of a statewide victory for president obama. he needs to do well in the big, growing burgeoning prince george county and loudoun county, as well as fairfax. yes, the two areas are small, but trees and rocks and acres don't vote, at least in most states and localities. host: what kind of the voting system is used in virginia? guest: the computerized systems are used almost everywhere. we have eliminated paper ballots accept as a backup in case of emergency. we don't have a lever machines anymore, that i grew up with. i am a native virginian. we thought the lever machines were pretty neat, but they are long gone. now you have computerized machines almost everywhere in one form or another. host: some of the demographics of the state, 64.5% white. 19.8% black. hispanic population, 8.2%. the lead story in the wall street about the latino vote nationwide, what about in virginia when it comes to the latino vote? guest: those figures are a little deceptive, because you are talking about population. in my field, we l
to obama, but i think among the sliver of people who, you know, probably voted for obama four years ago and are not sure now, i think this could help. >> how many do you think there are? >> standing next to chris christie helps. >> -- in cincinnati or waukesha, wisconsin -- >> it helps with the media though. it helps with our point of view. let me ask you, everybody goes by the polls and they tend to be 47/47 which means six people haven't made up their mind. i'm asking you as a pro. aren't there a lot of people who are more like the group you described, voted for obama once, worried about him this time, may go with the other guy if he has a good night. can they come back from the first debate saying i'm back where i was? how many of them are there potentially? >> i think there are some out there. but the question is how many of them have early voted? the proliferation of early voting, there were some voting after the first debate, between the second and third debate. i think there are some of those who are not sure and have been looking for a sign. if you haven't voted sort of right aw
the safe betting today in both parties is that florida is moving away from obama. the evangelical vote is 44% of the vote in north carolina. that state is now gone. he was the first democrat to carry it in 44 years. romney will carry that next tuesday. in ohio, 30% of the vote. but here's the real key, larry. it's what makes '12 different than '08. four years ago there were 17 million evangelical christians who didn't bother to go the polls. about half because they weren't registered to vote. half were registered but didn't vote. we estimate that 340,000 of those were in ohio, alone. this is a state that obama carried with only 262,000 vote margins. so if they show up, it's going to be a big factor that wasn't there four years ago. >> why is no one else covering this, ralph? you've got hard numbers. first of all, first of all, you're talking about wisconsin and iowa as well as ohio, as well as pennsylvania. i mean, romney, that's landslide territory. what i want to ask you is this. why doesn't the press understand the story that you're telling, and to some extent, the work you've done?
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